“In a turbulent global energy landscape, where supply is dominated by countries scoring poorly on democratic indices, Norway’s stable, liberal democracy is becoming increasingly important for Europe’s energy security. Though Norway contributes only a small share of global oil and gas output, its role is disproportionately significant for Europe’s democratically aligned markets,” says Knut Mjåland, CEO of GCE NODE.
Equinor recently adjusted its strategy with fewer concrete renewables targets and higher ambitions for oil and gas production toward 2030 and 2035. When the company presented its long-term plan in 2024, the goals were described as bold and ambitious. Today, those ambitions are already met. Exploration results have accelerated the shift. Since 2023, Equinor has made 45 discoveries on the Norwegian shelf, expanding a resource base that has matured far faster than expected.
A key milestone approaches as Equinor prepares a final investment decision on Wisting, the largest undeveloped field on the shelf. The International Energy Agency has repeatedly emphasized that global gas production must increase in the coming years, a message that reinforces Norway’s responsibility not to leave energy supply solely to major autocracies.
“Activity is set to remain high. Equinor plans substantial investments in 2026, and the government has issued a record number of licenses. The anticipated decline appears further away than expected, and activity levels are likely to exceed earlier industry forecasts. This is crucial for Southern Norway’s supplier industry, which delivers technology and expertise for upgrades, modifications, and potential newbuilds,” says Mjåland.
At the same time, Norway faces a tightening power situation. In 2033, DNV expects Norway to import 5 TWh more electricity than it exports, meaning domestic production will fall short of demand. This poses serious challenges for industry and thousands of jobs.
Offshore wind was intended to help close the gap, but development has been slower than planned. The government’s upcoming North Sea wind deployment plan (Tempoplanen) will be decisive in determining which areas will be built out, and how quickly.
“The signals from Equinor point to a future where the Norwegian Continental Shelf remains central to Europe’s energy stability, while Norway simultaneously navigates a demanding transition in its domestic power system. Companies in our region will participate in sustaining the oil and gas industry, while building renewable industries that eventually will reduce our dependency on oil and gas,” says Mjåland.



